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Unemployment figures by electorate reveal the true challenge Australians now face

This Is What Three And A Half Million Jobkeeper Recipients Looks Like


Unemployment figures by electorate reveal the true challenge Australians now face

This Is What Three And A Half Million Jobkeeper Recipients Looks Like

Activity

Revenue figures in billions

Main Activity Charities Revenue
1 RELIGIOUS ACTIVITIES 14,141 $5.326
2 PRIMARY AND SECONDARY EDUCATION 4,177 $27.613
3 OTHER EDUCATION 3,804 $8.955
4 SOCIAL SERVICES 3,442 $13.851
5 ECONOMIC, SOCIAL AND COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT 2,621 $7.083
6 CULTURE AND ARTS 2,486 $2.437
7 GRANT-MAKING ACTIVITIES 2,380 $2.527
8 OTHER HEALTH SERVICE DELIVERY 1,697 $7.868
9 AGED CARE ACTIVITIES 1,281 $15.676
10 EMERGENCY AND RELIEF 1,280 $1.199
11 NOT PROVIDED 1,215 $0.081
12 ADVOCACY AND CIVIC ACTIVITIES 981 $1.234
13 ENVIRONMENTAL ACTIVITIES 958 $0.821
14 HOUSING ACTIVITIES 770 $2.908
15 RESEARCH 634 $2.995
16 HIGHER EDUCATION 629 $35.112
17 MENTAL HEALTH AND CRISIS INTERVENTION 590 $1.552
18 ANIMAL PROTECTION 575 $0.443
19 OTHER PHILANTHROPIC INTERMEDIARIES AND VOLUNTARISM PROMOTION 574 $0.578
20 INTERNATIONAL ACTIVITIES 564 $1.491
21 OTHER RECREATION 493 $0.281
22 EMPLOYMENT AND TRAINING 486 $3.150
23 HOSPITAL SERVICES AND REHABILITATION ACTIVITIES 387 $12.400
24 SPORTS 285 $0.250
25 INCOME SUPPORT AND MAINTENANCE 227 $0.071
26 OTHER RECREATION AND SOCIAL CLUB ACTIVITY 202 $0.333
27 LAW AND LEGAL SERVICES 182 $1.195

Figures from 2018 Annual Information Statements

Electorate

Electorates are listed by the aggregate surplus/deficit for charities with addresses in that electorate. Some charities were not able to be assigned to an electorate due to lack of address information.

Electorate Charities Revenue Surplus/Deficit
1 SYDNEY 2,382 $17,386.096M $1,260.019M
2 MELBOURNE 2,619 $16,411.066M $808.031M
3 BRISBANE 873 $5,274.289M $219.930M
4 ADELAIDE 1,123 $4,818.946M $265.717M
5 PERTH 565 $3,669.965M $144.152M
6 CHISHOLM 428 $3,631.621M $150.419M
7 RYAN 243 $3,461.643M $145.614M
8 GRIFFITH 337 $3,254.330M $75.782M
9 HOTHAM 305 $3,136.166M $205.589M
10 KINGSFORD SMITH 300 $2,990.815M $139.717M
11 CANBERRA 843 $2,977.058M $203.045M
12 CURTIN 538 $2,923.976M $103.093M
13 NORTH SYDNEY 627 $2,496.749M $235.352M
14 SWAN 377 $2,465.840M $29.824M
15 MACNAMARA 659 $2,459.105M $224.932M
16 KOOYONG 512 $2,418.647M $90.298M
17 GRAYNDLER 414 $2,106.386M $61.376M
18 CUNNINGHAM 312 $2,092.285M $126.409M
19 BENNELONG 377 $2,082.525M $72.159M
20 NEWCASTLE 364 $1,988.798M $77.391M
21 PARRAMATTA 481 $1,981.945M $268.666M
22 CLARK 424 $1,892.820M $244.028M
23 BRADFIELD 392 $1,891.262M $35.081M
24 COOPER 218 $1,495.964M $50.347M
25 MORETON 301 $1,469.203M $60.494M
26 BOOTHBY 238 $1,409.471M $35.306M
27 BONNER 212 $1,395.448M $16.651M
28 LEICHHARDT 305 $1,331.375M $66.239M
29 LINDSAY 217 $1,280.726M $186.946M
30 MITCHELL 275 $1,267.092M $72.503M
31 CORIO 310 $1,134.037M $42.414M
32 STIRLING 220 $1,048.264M $84.587M
33 RIVERINA 527 $1,043.742M $2.555M
34 PAGE 469 $1,037.046M $45.496M
35 NEW ENGLAND 487 $972.969M $56.439M
36 STURT 352 $940.343M $159.239M
37 REID 391 $898.574M $60.261M
38 WENTWORTH 360 $895.282M $145.575M
39 GELLIBRAND 218 $890.964M $26.268M
40 HUGHES 179 $861.420M $631.751M
41 BALLARAT 302 $840.072M $47.702M
42 GROOM 283 $828.801M $24.475M
43 LILLEY 265 $780.593M $-7.815M
44 SOLOMON 246 $778.040M $-264.691M
45 FAIRFAX 249 $759.453M $61.235M
46 HERBERT 288 $742.280M $53.883M
47 MOORE 145 $679.670M $20.480M
48 MACKELLAR 229 $634.218M $58.464M
49 MCPHERSON 203 $629.121M $45.162M
50 HINDMARSH 209 $624.565M $116.016M
51 MONASH 281 $602.304M $37.047M
52 HIGGINS 437 $588.857M $60.076M
53 TANGNEY 187 $573.189M $22.937M
54 BEROWRA 286 $551.261M $20.092M
55 HASLUCK 200 $538.288M $8.595M
56 LINGIARI 184 $531.223M $68.686M
57 DURACK 509 $527.973M $11.245M
58 FLYNN 209 $520.059M $0.896M
59 DEAKIN 248 $516.246M $22.155M
60 MALLEE 392 $501.325M $29.819M
61 FREMANTLE 245 $497.588M $-0.161M
62 WARRINGAH 282 $491.587M $52.718M
63 CAPRICORNIA 173 $489.970M $26.569M
64 WANNON 397 $489.444M $23.110M
65 GIPPSLAND 281 $487.096M $29.273M
66 BENDIGO 385 $481.998M $42.729M
67 PARKES 463 $479.397M $41.204M
68 ISAACS 229 $473.570M $33.450M
69 CALARE 408 $472.386M $20.513M
70 BARTON 162 $464.413M $44.141M
71 GOLDSTEIN 274 $446.098M $98.912M
72 NICHOLLS 282 $442.108M $22.802M
73 BLAXLAND 263 $439.219M $66.615M
74 FLINDERS 186 $434.531M $11.163M
75 WILLS 222 $432.485M $50.394M
76 MARIBYRNONG 179 $425.690M $18.927M
77 INDI 320 $421.260M $8.634M
78 COWPER 389 $410.582M $15.349M
79 JAGAJAGA 186 $406.663M $53.192M
80 CALWELL 142 $386.727M $57.402M
81 BEAN 198 $377.078M $20.442M
82 FOWLER 217 $370.004M $61.951M
83 BARKER 408 $364.429M $9.539M
84 RANKIN 184 $361.559M $23.322M
85 WATSON 233 $347.883M $30.389M
86 GREENWAY 276 $341.251M $15.587M
87 LALOR 159 $336.727M $30.412M
88 RICHMOND 343 $336.103M $10.550M
89 MACARTHUR 209 $319.176M $25.290M
90 WHITLAM 234 $312.874M $33.535M
91 BASS 219 $304.800M $42.440M
92 SCULLIN 139 $304.694M $25.749M
93 FARRER 423 $300.919M $16.076M
94 LYNE 286 $297.477M $25.993M
95 KENNEDY 273 $278.381M $12.360M
96 BURT 246 $275.601M $19.679M
97 GREY 446 $274.705M $19.113M
98 HINKLER 182 $272.043M $7.632M
99 ROBERTSON 260 $268.600M $13.381M
100 MACQUARIE 335 $263.269M $13.948M
101 ASTON 245 $261.056M $19.151M
102 SPENCE 152 $260.583M $24.804M
103 CASEY 261 $257.268M $12.679M
104 MAYO 333 $256.344M $12.590M
105 FORREST 315 $253.405M $9.684M
106 O'CONNOR 465 $251.794M $17.853M
107 DUNKLEY 155 $247.330M $13.631M
108 MONCRIEFF 226 $242.923M $15.788M
109 LA TROBE 128 $236.810M $15.788M
110 GILMORE 277 $235.914M $-19.380M
111 BRUCE 220 $235.124M $10.079M
112 PATERSON 264 $232.165M $17.772M
113 FRASER 147 $225.182M $-59.312M
114 DAWSON 201 $222.912M $15.344M
115 BRADDON 185 $222.857M $15.711M
116 FORDE 179 $216.276M $5.771M
117 MENZIES 227 $215.725M $15.763M
118 COWAN 190 $210.793M $28.381M
119 HOLT 134 $208.517M $23.721M
120 HUNTER 302 $208.498M $12.938M
121 GORTON 119 $205.574M $18.595M
122 WIDE BAY 197 $205.467M $4.143M
123 BOWMAN 164 $204.281M $15.477M
124 PETRIE 126 $202.544M $10.499M
125 CHIFLEY 135 $192.827M $11.603M
126 BANKS 210 $190.255M $2.675M
127 OXLEY 150 $189.313M $5.643M
128 PEARCE 201 $185.454M $-1.043M
129 MCEWEN 140 $175.784M $7.163M
130 FISHER 182 $172.389M $14.403M
131 FADDEN 136 $170.644M $9.972M
132 CANNING 166 $167.832M $11.827M
133 BRAND 120 $167.488M $7.888M
134 MAKIN 149 $167.208M $11.117M
135 BLAIR 223 $163.942M $11.502M
136 EDEN-MONARO 318 $159.338M $5.889M
137 FRANKLIN 222 $157.480M $4.584M
138 MARANOA 311 $152.112M $7.981M
139 DOBELL 164 $136.725M $8.279M
140 KINGSTON 153 $133.053M $8.186M
141 CORANGAMITE 193 $132.973M $24.118M
142 WRIGHT 187 $132.166M $10.633M
143 COOK 193 $130.918M $7.688M
144 SHORTLAND 165 $125.064M $6.191M
145 MCMAHON 128 $122.536M $5.072M
146 LONGMAN 144 $112.782M $10.583M
147 DICKSON 170 $105.313M $5.826M
148 LYONS 158 $97.206M $12.949M
149 HUME 234 $92.015M $3.209M
150 FENNER 99 $81.791M $5.348M
151 WERRIWA 94 $42.489M $7.013M
152 NONE 3 $0.200M $-0.025M

Demographics

Welfare & JobKeeper recipients by Electorate. 1st quartile has least welfare/jobkeeper recipients, 4th quartile has the most.

All Electorates1519,526,930
Electorates in the 1st Quartile 371,751,136
Electorates in the 2nd Quartile 382,276,314
Electorates in the 3rd Quartile 392,618,889
Electorates in the 4th Quartile 372,993,350

The true picture of the struggling faced by so many Australian communities battling the bushfire/pandemic disasters is made clear with the latest available JobSeeker & JobKeeper estimates made on the basis of ATO organisation claims by postcode.

It's hard to forget the massive accounting error made in concert by our esteemed ATO and Treasury Department which initially put estimates for JobKeeper individuals at over 6 million. Which makes that 3.5 million individuals on JobKeeper eventually arrived at seem like a much more palatable figure, right?

To find out, I gathered together the latest figures to provide a bit of a reality check on how Australia is faring under Covid-19. While no individual JobKeeper figures are available by area, the ATO has published the number of organisations claiming JobKeeper payments for their employees by postcode.

From this basis, I estimated the number of JobKeeper individuals by postcode or electorate by dividing the 3.5 million figure claimed by the government evenly between those postcodes and then assigned those figures for those postcodes to electorates using a handy dataset published by the APH library.

While it is an estimate for each area only (it assumes numbers of employees by organisation is the same for every employer making a claim), these are the only figures I am aware of currently available, and I am using the estimation to provide transparency on the size of the challenge Covid-19 has created, not only for individuals and governments but also for the charities that will inevitably be dealing with the fallout.

The Center for Social Impact recently modelled the impact of the pandemic on charities, providing a score for included charities based on their financial health pre and post JobKeeper. This modelling was followed up by a policy snapshot advocating an extension of both JobSeeker and JobKeeper; a charities transformation fund to deal with the risks faced by charities going forward; and appropriate government funding for the services charities provide on behalf of governments.

With this analysis in mind I have placed the welfare recipient figures alongside the recently released charity financials and provided an indication of the exposure each charity has to Covid (at individual charity, activity and electorate levels) by providing the percentage of their revenue contributed by donations. This is the income most likely to be at risk from the economic downturn (as reported in The Guardian). In this way, the extra demand from a doubling or tripling in jobless numbers is being dealt with by charities that could be facing severe shortfalls in the donations they would normally expect- a double whammy.

So where does this leave us?

Below are the JobSeeker recipient numbers at May with the estimated JobKeeper numbers by federal electorate.As can be seen from the chart, the economic consequences of Covid threaten to re-distribute unemployment in quite a radical way.

Areas with strong employment statistics threaten to become our areas of highest unemployment. Areas such as the Northern Territory's Lingiari now has fewer recipient numbers (when combining JobKeeper with JobSeeker) than Sydney and Adelaide. It is potentially our major cities that will be hit hardest ecomically by the pandemic if we can not find a way to manage outbreaks before the businesses and charities hit hardest collapse under the sustained pressure of successive lockdowns.

Financials for all charities with welfare recipient numbers listed by revenue descending. The last column on the right is the percentage of revenue coming from donations for charities in that electorate. Donations are likely to be the income stream most at risk from the current economic climate.

Electorate Revenue Expenses Surplus %
1 SYDNEY 17,386 16,126 1,260 10%
2 MELBOURNE 16,411 15,603 808 6%
3 BRISBANE 5,274 5,054 220 5%
4 ADELAIDE 4,819 4,553 266 4%
5 PERTH 3,670 3,526 144 2%
6 CHISHOLM 3,632 3,481 150 14%
7 RYAN 3,462 3,316 146 3%
8 GRIFFITH 3,254 3,179 76 4%
9 HOTHAM 3,136 2,931 206 2%
10 KINGSFORD SMITH 2,991 2,851 140 7%
11 CANBERRA 2,977 2,774 203 4%
12 CURTIN 2,924 2,821 103 5%
13 NORTH SYDNEY 2,497 2,261 235 16%
14 SWAN 2,466 2,436 30 2%
15 MACNAMARA 2,459 2,234 225 13%
16 KOOYONG 2,419 2,328 90 4%
17 GRAYNDLER 2,106 2,045 61 6%
18 CUNNINGHAM 2,092 1,966 126 1%
19 BENNELONG 2,083 2,010 72 6%
20 NEWCASTLE 1,989 1,911 77 3%
21 PARRAMATTA 1,982 1,713 269 18%
22 CLARK 1,893 1,649 244 3%
23 BRADFIELD 1,891 1,856 35 4%
24 COOPER 1,496 1,446 50 1%
25 MORETON 1,469 1,409 60 3%
26 BOOTHBY 1,409 1,374 35 2%
27 BONNER 1,395 1,379 17 2%
28 LEICHHARDT 1,331 1,265 66 3%
29 LINDSAY 1,281 1,094 187 2%
30 MITCHELL 1,267 1,195 73 8%
31 CORIO 1,134 1,092 42 5%
32 STIRLING 1,048 964 85 5%
33 RIVERINA 1,044 1,041 3 1%
34 PAGE 1,037 992 45 1%
35 NEW ENGLAND 973 917 56 6%
36 STURT 940 781 159 6%
37 REID 899 838 60 8%
38 WENTWORTH 895 750 146 19%
39 GELLIBRAND 891 865 26 4%
40 HUGHES 861 230 632 74%
41 BALLARAT 840 792 48 1%
42 GROOM 829 804 24 3%
43 LILLEY 781 788 -8 6%
44 SOLOMON 778 1,043 -265 2%
45 FAIRFAX 759 698 61 3%
46 HERBERT 742 688 54 3%
47 MOORE 680 659 20 2%
48 MACKELLAR 634 576 58 8%
49 MCPHERSON 629 584 45 4%
50 HINDMARSH 625 509 116 6%
51 MONASH 602 565 37 1%
52 HIGGINS 589 529 60 10%
53 TANGNEY 573 550 23 4%
54 BEROWRA 551 531 20 6%
55 HASLUCK 538 530 9 1%
56 LINGIARI 531 463 69 4%
57 DURACK 528 517 11 2%
58 FLYNN 520 519 1 1%
59 DEAKIN 516 494 22 6%
60 MALLEE 501 472 30 1%
61 FREMANTLE 498 498 -0 6%
62 WARRINGAH 492 439 53 16%
63 CAPRICORNIA 490 463 27 2%
64 WANNON 489 466 23 2%
65 GIPPSLAND 487 458 29 1%
66 BENDIGO 482 439 43 6%
67 PARKES 479 438 41 5%
68 ISAACS 474 440 33 3%
69 CALARE 472 452 21 9%
70 BARTON 464 420 44 4%
71 GOLDSTEIN 446 347 99 13%
72 NICHOLLS 442 419 23 3%
73 BLAXLAND 439 373 67 20%
74 FLINDERS 435 423 11 2%
75 WILLS 432 382 50 2%
76 MARIBYRNONG 426 407 19 3%
77 INDI 421 413 9 2%
78 COWPER 411 395 15 3%
79 JAGAJAGA 407 353 53 4%
80 CALWELL 387 329 57 4%
81 BEAN 377 357 20 6%
82 FOWLER 370 308 62 6%
83 BARKER 364 355 10 4%
84 RANKIN 362 338 23 22%
85 WATSON 348 317 30 15%
86 GREENWAY 341 326 16 12%
87 LALOR 337 306 30 3%
88 RICHMOND 336 326 11 7%
89 MACARTHUR 319 294 25 12%
90 WHITLAM 313 279 34 11%
91 BASS 305 262 42 4%
92 SCULLIN 305 279 26 8%
93 FARRER 301 285 16 4%
94 LYNE 297 271 26 31%
95 KENNEDY 278 266 12 2%
96 BURT 276 256 20 10%
97 GREY 275 256 19 3%
98 HINKLER 272 264 8 1%
99 ROBERTSON 269 255 13 6%
100 MACQUARIE 263 249 14 5%
101 ASTON 261 242 19 13%
102 SPENCE 261 236 25 2%
103 CASEY 257 245 13 8%
104 MAYO 256 244 13 10%
105 FORREST 253 244 10 4%
106 O'CONNOR 252 234 18 3%
107 DUNKLEY 247 234 14 4%
108 MONCRIEFF 243 227 16 11%
109 LA TROBE 237 221 16 4%
110 GILMORE 236 255 -19 3%
111 BRUCE 235 225 10 7%
112 PATERSON 232 214 18 3%
113 FRASER 225 284 -59 7%
114 DAWSON 223 208 15 3%
115 BRADDON 223 207 16 2%
116 FORDE 216 211 6 6%
117 MENZIES 216 200 16 11%
118 COWAN 211 182 28 17%
119 HOLT 209 185 24 7%
120 HUNTER 208 196 13 4%
121 GORTON 206 187 19 2%
122 WIDE BAY 205 201 4 4%
123 BOWMAN 204 189 15 7%
124 PETRIE 203 192 10 6%
125 CHIFLEY 193 181 12 9%
126 BANKS 190 188 3 10%
127 OXLEY 189 184 6 17%
128 PEARCE 185 186 -1 5%
129 MCEWEN 176 169 7 3%
130 FISHER 172 158 14 11%
131 FADDEN 171 161 10 8%
132 CANNING 168 156 12 5%
133 BRAND 167 160 8 4%
134 MAKIN 167 156 11 7%
135 BLAIR 164 152 12 8%
136 EDEN-MONARO 159 153 6 7%
137 FRANKLIN 157 153 5 5%
138 MARANOA 152 144 8 8%
139 DOBELL 137 128 8 5%
140 KINGSTON 133 125 8 9%
141 CORANGAMITE 133 109 24 9%
142 WRIGHT 132 122 11 5%
143 COOK 131 123 8 12%
144 SHORTLAND 125 119 6 4%
145 MCMAHON 123 117 5 14%
146 LONGMAN 113 102 11 4%
147 DICKSON 105 99 6 25%
148 LYONS 97 84 13 3%
149 HUME 92 89 3 10%
150 FENNER 82 76 5 15%
151 WERRIWA 42 36 7 20%


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The Cashless Welfare Card forces each recipient to share their entire purchase history with the government. In this article, I explain the human rights law that Australia is signatory to and the implications for the government in breaching that law.

Cashless Debit Card, Income Management And The Surveillance State


The Cashless Welfare Card forces each recipient to share their entire purchase history with the government. In this article, I explain the human rights law that Australia is signatory to and the implications for the government in breaching that law.

Cashless Debit Card, Income Management And The Surveillance State